When Will Pandemic End? Read What Scientist Says
Close to 90% of the United States may have some form of COVID-19 immunity by the time the current delta variant wave finishes, said Dr. Scott Gottlieb, the former commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration.
“I’m confident that we’re peaking in COVID for the grim truth that the delta wave is so pervasive and infecting so many people that on the back end of this we’re going to have immunity in, at least, 85%, maybe 90% of the population,” Gottlieb said, per CNBC. “Some will have acquired that immunity through vaccination. Some will have acquired that immunity via infection. Some will have been both vaccinated and infected.”
The result of this surge — though dark, grim and not ideal — will be fewer chances for COVID-19 to spread among our population.
“On the back end of this, you’re going to have so much immunity in the population that the virus isn’t going away — I don’t think we’re going to reach actual herd immunity where this just disappears — however it’s certainly not going spread at the kind of levels we’re seeing right now,” Gottlieb told CNBC. “The prevalence will decline.”
Gottlieb told CNN over the weekend that the delta wave will likely end by Thanksgiving.
“This delta wave is going to surge across the country and hit different regions at different times,” he said.
Gottlieb has had his eyes on the delta COVID-19 wave since early September. He said the Northeast might see a delta variant wave around Labor Day, which would mark the beginning of a true delta wave.
“I think our true delta wave is going to begin to build after Labor Day here in the Northeast and the northern part of the country,” Gottlieb stated on CNBC.
“This delta wave is going to surge across the country and hit different areas at different times,” he told CNN.
“This may be the last major wave of infection,” he added.